This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

------------=_1565077340-118394-5978
Content-Type: text/plain

ACUS03 KWNS 060742
SWODY3
SPC AC 060741

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0241 AM CDT Tue Aug 06 2019

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

...SUMMARY...
Strong to severe storms may produce large hail and locally damaging
wind gusts Thursday afternoon and evening across portions of the
Midwest from Indiana to western Pennsylvania.

...IN/MI/OH/PA and Vicinity...

A shortwave trough embedded in larger-scale upper trough will
migrate east/southeast from the upper Midwest through the Ohio
Valley/lower Great Lakes vicinity on Thursday. Strong northwesterly
deep layer flow will bring 30-50 kt 850-500 mb flow across the
region as a surface cold front shifts east/southeast. Southwesterly
low level flow ahead of the front should transport higher dewpoints
into the area, with at least mid 60s F surface dewpoints possible.
Cooling aloft will aid in steepening lapse rates from 6.5-7.5 C/km
and strong heating will lead to moderate instability by early
afternoon. Thunderstorms are expected to develop ahead of the cold
front and forecast soundings show long, straight hodographs and 40+
kt effective shear. This will support supercells capable of large
hail. Pockets of steep 0-3 km lapse rates also will lead to locally
damaging wind potential.

...Central Plains vicinity...

Abundant moisture/instability will be in place from northern/eastern
OK across much of KS/NE into the adjacent High Plains. Convection
will likely be ongoing across parts of MO/KS during the morning. The
extent of this convection will determine if/where storms
redevelop/intensify during the afternoon/evening hours as subtle
impulses rotate through northwesterly flow on the eastern edges of
the western upper ridge. Some severe threat is possible across the
broader region, but too much uncertainty exists at this time to
include probabilities.

..Leitman.. 08/06/2019

$$


------------=_1565077340-118394-5978
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
Content-Disposition: inline
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.
------------=_1565077340-118394-5978--

--- SBBSecho 3.07-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)