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Message   COD Weather Processor    wx-storm   MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1644   August 5, 2019
 2:35 PM *  

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ACUS11 KWNS 051435
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051434
MIZ000-WIZ000-MNZ000-051630-

Mesoscale Discussion 1644
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0934 AM CDT Mon Aug 05 2019

Areas affected...portions of eastern Minnesota into northern
Wisconsin and parts of Upper Michigan

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 552...

Valid 051434Z - 051630Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 552
continues.

SUMMARY...An organized band of storms continues moving across WW
552, where risk for locally damaging winds continues.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a fairly well-organized band of
thunderstorms moving eastward at 35 kt across east-central and
northeast Minnesota, toward western Lake Superior and northwestern
Wisconsin.  Area VWPs and morning RAOBs show moderate westerly flow
aloft, aiding the moderate speed of eastward progression being
observed.

While some weakening of the band of storms is indicated over the
past hour or so, the airmass downstream of the ongoing storms has
begun to diurnally heat/destabilize, which may permit storms to
maintain structure/intensity through the morning.  Current
extrapolation shows storms beginning to exit eastern portions of the
WW in the 1630 to 17Z time frame; as such, we will continue to
monitor convective trends, as well as evolution of the downstream
airmass, to assess potential need for an additional WW into more of
northern Wisconsin, and adjacent Upper Michigan.

..Goss.. 08/05/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...DLH...ARX...MPX...

LAT...LON   45809334 46569268 47389222 47208853 46408685 44778746
            44949085 45809334



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