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Message   COD Weather Processor    wx-storm   MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1607   July 29, 2019
 2:30 AM *  

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ACUS11 KWNS 290230
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290230
IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-290400-

Mesoscale Discussion 1607
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0930 PM CDT Sun Jul 28 2019

Areas affected...southeast South Dakota...northeast Nebraska and
northwest Iowa

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 544...

Valid 290230Z - 290400Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 544
continues.

SUMMARY...Threat for isolated strong to damaging wind gusts will
persist until about 03Z or 04Z, with primary threat over the
southwest part of ww 544 in northeast Nebraska. Storms will approach
the southern bound of the WW before 04Z, and although another WW is
not anticipated, the current WW can be locally extended in area if
needed.

DISCUSSION...Line of storms has undergone a general weakening trend
across southeast SD especially the eastern two thirds that extend
from extreme southeast SD into northwest IA. This trend will likely
persist as the storms encounter a boundary layer that has been
stabilized by earlier rains and experienced only limited recovery
before onset of nocturnal cooling. However, storms along the
southwest flank of the line could remain capable of strong to severe
gusts next couple hours as they move south through Holt county NE
where the atmosphere remains moderately unstable with 1500-2000 J/kg
MLCAPE.

..Dial.. 07/29/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...

LAT...LON   42639910 42669831 42849699 43239609 42959574 42339581
            42149654 42059765 42069842 42339914 42639910



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