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ACUS11 KWNS 282336
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282335
WIZ000-MIZ000-290100-
Mesoscale Discussion 1606
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0635 PM CDT Sun Jul 28 2019
Areas affected...northern Wisconsin
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 282335Z - 290100Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...A downstream tornado watch is unlikely for most of
northern Wisconsin. However, a small watch is possible near the warm
front from near Wausau to north of Green Bay.
DISCUSSION...The combination of a cooler airmass where surface winds
are backed and more veered surface winds where instability is
greater will likely preclude the need for a downstream watch for
most of northern Wisconsin. However, a conditional tornado/damaging
wind threat may persist near the warm front near Wausau to north of
Green Bay. There is considerable uncertainty regarding the threat
within this region, but low 70s dewpoints, a sharply defined wind
shift along the warm front, and a strengthening low-level jet lead
to some continued concern in a small area of north central and east
central Wisconsin through the remainder of the evening and into the
early overnight hours. Trends will continue to be monitored and the
decision on a small watch is this area will be made within the hour.
..Bentley/Guyer.. 07/28/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...MKX...DLH...ARX...MPX...
LAT...LON 46089227 46669084 46568991 46068837 45798791 44998749
44488748 43978771 43898857 44029090 45319210 46089227
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