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ACUS03 KWNS 270651
SWODY3
SPC AC 270650

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0150 AM CDT Sat Jul 27 2019

Valid 291200Z - 301200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.

...Synopsis...

A shortwave trough will linger over the upper Great Lakes/Midwest
vicinity on Monday. The main wave will accelerate into western
Quebec while a weaker southern branch becomes sandwiched between a
strong upper ridge centered over the Rockies and a ridge over the
western Atlantic. A surface cold front will continue east and south,
oriented from near Lake Michigan to northern KS by Tuesday morning.
Areas of thunderstorms are possible along and ahead of the front
from the upper Great Lakes southwestward toward the Ozark Plateau
and parts of the southern Plains. A lack of stronger forcing and
generally weak deep layer flow will limit organized severe
potential. However, given a moist, unstable boundary layer along the
surface boundary, cannot rule out sporadic strong storms. Any
limited severe potential will be driven by mesoscale influences both
from prior day's convection and storm/boundary interactions, which
are uncertain and not resolved well at this time.

..Leitman.. 07/27/2019

$$


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