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Message   COD Weather Processor    wx-storm   MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1594   July 27, 2019
 1:41 AM *  

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ACUS11 KWNS 270141
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270140
WIZ000-MNZ000-270315-

Mesoscale Discussion 1594
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0840 PM CDT Fri Jul 26 2019

Areas affected...East central Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 542...

Valid 270140Z - 270315Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 542
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat continues in the southern half of severe
thunderstorm watch 542.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of supercells has been persistent in the
northern suburbs of Minneapolis for the past hour with several
reports of 1 to 2 inch hail. There have been occasional attempts at
convection in the northern half of the watch between this cluster of
supercells and the line up near Lake Superior, but no convection has
been able to persist. Given the MLCIN from the 00Z MPX sounding,
additional convection is not anticipated outside of the ongoing
supercells north of MPX. Even this convection will likely weaken
below severe limits in the next 1 to 2 hours as CIN increases
further. Some evidence of these storms struggling with the capping
inversion has been apparent in the past 1 to 2 hours as the lead
supercell dissipated quickly between 0030Z-0100Z.

..Bentley.. 07/27/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...

LAT...LON   45379348 45619294 45539143 45209080 44749038 44269069
            44449205 44589286 44859337 45149363 45379348



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