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ACUS48 KWNS 260829
SWOD48
SPC AC 260828

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0328 AM CDT Fri Jul 26 2019

Valid 291200Z - 031200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Overall severe potential appears limited during the Day 4-8 period.
The Great Lakes upper trough will shift eastward early next week,
but stronger deep layer flow will weaken and/or shift north of the
international border. Storms are possible across portions of the
MS/OH Valley into the northeastern states as the cold front becomes
more diffuse and shifts offshore by midweek. Organized severe threat
with this system appears low due to weak flow and limited forcing.

Otherwise, much of the western and central U.S. will remain under
the influence of an intensifying upper ridge. Some guidance suggests
mesoscale features could periodically migrate through northwesterly
flow over the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest/mid-MS Valley.
However, the timing and evolution of these mesoscale features is not
resolved well at this time range and too much uncertainty exists to
pinpoint areas of severe potential at this time.

..Leitman.. 07/26/2019


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