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ACUS11 KWNS 222339
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222338
COZ000-230045-

Mesoscale Discussion 1575
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0638 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019

Areas affected...the Colorado Front Range

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 222338Z - 230045Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms are expected to continue through
the evening. No watch is expected.

DISCUSSION...Storms have developed in the vicinity of the surface
low/outflow boundary just south and east of Denver. A 69kt wind gust
was measured at the Denver airport at 2304Z. This gust was likely
brief and localized based on the radar observations of a core
collapse in that area. Given the steep low-level lapse rates, these
localized downbursts will continue to be possible as additional
strong thunderstorm cores collapse through the evening. The greatest
threat will likely be in Adams, Arapahoe, Elbert, and Douglas
counties for the next few hours.

Farther south, storms have mostly remained over the higher terrain,
but some convection is starting to drift off the higher terrain and
could impact areas such as Pueblo in the next 1 to 2 hours. The
primary threat with these storms will also be severe wind gusts.

..Bentley.. 07/22/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON   40020514 40260455 39030334 38030318 37240329 37010394
            37020451 37170491 37540516 39460539 40020514



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