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Message   COD Weather Processor    wx-storm   MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1528   July 19, 2019
 8:53 PM *  

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ACUS11 KWNS 192053
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192053
WIZ000-MNZ000-192300-

Mesoscale Discussion 1528
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0353 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019

Areas affected...east-central Minnesota into northwest Wisconsin

Concerning...Tornado Watch 524...

Valid 192053Z - 192300Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 524 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe storms are taking shape across Minnesota into
northwest Wisconsin, with a corridor of damaging storms expected to
develop over the next several hours.

DISCUSSION...A east-west line of cells, including supercells, is
rapidly developing across central Minnesota, and is likely to grow
upscale and turn east/southeastward over the next several hours.
While storm mode is cellular as of 21Z, backbuilding is likely due
to an influx of extremely moist and unstable air, aided by 35+ kt
southwest 850 mb winds. Storms are currently situated along the
instability gradient, and will likely grow upscale and accelerate
with a corridor of widespread wind damage possible. In addition, a
tornado or two remains possible with the individual cells over
Minnesota, and before outflows eventually merge.

..Jewell.. 07/19/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...DLH...ARX...MPX...

LAT...LON   45509362 45799413 45979429 46139426 46229407 46199335
            46209222 46119131 45809049 45479003 45098991 44689003
            44629070 44909215 45199305 45509362



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