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ACUS01 KWNS 200056
SWODY1
SPC AC 200054

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0754 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019

Valid 200100Z - 201200Z

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL
AND NORTHEAST WI...

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SD
TONIGHT...

...SUMMARY...
Significant wind gust are still expected across central and
northeast Wisconsin this evening.

...01Z Update...

...Northern/Central WI...Upper/Lower MI...
Strong mesoscale convective system continues to organize as it moves
across northern WI at 40-45 kt. Air mass ahead of the line is
currently characterized by temperatures in the mid 80s, dewpoints in
the mid 70s, effective bulk shear around 50 kt, and strong buoyancy.
 Expectation is for the ongoing line to continue organizing while
moving quickly eastward and for strong wind gusts to become more
common as the rear-inflow jet strengthens. A corridor of significant
wind gusts (i.e. 74+ mph) is probable. Current radar signature and
recent NSSL Warn-on-Forecast ensemble data suggest the most likely
location for this corridor during the next hour is across Lincoln,
Langlade, Marathon, Wood, and Portage Counties in central WI. QLCS
tornadoes are also possible within the line. PDS Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 525 remains in effect for Northern WI until 06Z.

..Mosier.. 07/20/2019

$$


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