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ACUS48 KWNS 190836
SWOD48
SPC AC 190834

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0334 AM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019

Valid 221200Z - 271200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Models are in general agreement regarding the overall upper-air
pattern evolution during the extended period.  Early in the upcoming
work week (Monday-Tuesday), a large-scale trough will envelop much
of the Eastern Seaboard while a ridge amplifies over the Rockies.  A
cold front will move into the Mid-Atlantic states and Carolinas
during this period with diurnal thunderstorm activity.  Isolated
severe thunderstorms may occur but predictability concerns preclude
an area.  By midweek, potential for a 15-percent severe risk appears
limited.  Models are beginning to suggest a mid-level shortwave
trough will move into the north-central U.S. by next Friday.

..Smith.. 07/19/2019


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