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ACUS01 KWNS 190045
SWODY1
SPC AC 190043

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0743 PM CDT Thu Jul 18 2019

Valid 190100Z - 191200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN
MN...FAR NORTHEAST IA...AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN WI...

...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered severe thunderstorms are possible this evening and
tonight across the Upper Midwest.

...01Z Update...

...Upper Midwest...
Recently issued Mesoscale Discussion 1519 contains short-term
details for this region. In summary, the threat for large hail,
damaging wind and a couple of tornadoes will persist mainly over
southern MN next couple hours. Additional storm development is
possible east of WW 522 into western WI, but another WW issuance
will ultimately depend on convective trends.

...Mid-Atlantic into Southeast GA...
Widely scattered thunderstorms are ongoing from the southern
Delmarva Peninsula into southeast GA. Storm intensity has decreased
in the majority of storms, although several stronger storms remain.
A damaging wind gust or two may occur as the strongest remaining
updrafts collapse, but limited overall severe coverage is expected,
meriting the removal of 5% wind probability across the region.

..Mosier.. 07/19/2019

$$


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