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ACUS11 KWNS 172255
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172254
MAZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-180030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1509
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0554 PM CDT Wed Jul 17 2019

Areas affected...northern New Jersey...southwest New
York...Connecticut...Rhode Island...ans southern Massachusetts

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 516...

Valid 172254Z - 180030Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 516
continues.

SUMMARY...A few strong to severe storms remain possible through the
evening.

DISCUSSION...Numerous strong to occasionally severe storm clusters
have been ongoing across watch 516 for the last few hours. These
storms have been mostly outflow dominant due to the weak shear (~25
knots per BOX VWP) and thus no individual clusters have posed a
prolonged severe threat. The northern and western half of WW 516 has
been convectively overturned, but a narrow area of instability
remains from northern New Jersey along the coast to Cape Cod. A few
strong to severe storms remain possible in this area for the next
hour or two before the boundary layer begins to stabilize with the
loss of daytime heating.

..Bentley.. 07/17/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...

LAT...LON   41367456 41627339 41847162 42037058 41796986 41366996
            41197054 41007145 40857233 40597365 40677430 40707505
            40947520 41287488 41367456



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