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Message   The Hockey Writers    All   An Unofficial Canadiens Rebuild Spells Disaster   September 5, 2018
 9:19 AM *  

There's little reason to believe the Montreal Canadiens are actually looking to
 make the playoffs this coming season. In spite of what owner Geoff Molson and
general manager Marc Bergevin have said, all signs point to the 2018-19 season
ending in disaster. Both from a standings standpoint and from the perspective
of the alleged perpetrators, who only stand to lose goodwill with their
fans.Montreal Canadiens general manager Marc Bergevin - (Amy Irvin / The Hockey
 Writers)

So, when Bergevin or Molson claim that the Habs will "strive to be a playoff
team," it throws one for a loop. Here is a team that just finished 28th, but
failed to do much of anything this offseason to improve the lineup. In the long
 term, that may be for the best. For the foreseeable future? Not so much.Weber
vs. Schmidt

Keep in mind the Habs will be without top defenseman Shea Weber until December.
 To put that in perspective, news the Western Conference-champion Las Vegas
Golden Knights' top defenseman, Nate Schmidt, has been suspended for 20 games
has led to speculation it will accelerate a Knights trade for Erik Karlsson.

Granted, that's all that is: speculation. However, consider that Schmidt is
objectively less valuable than Weber, but that the Knights are a better team
than the Habs. There is actual talk that losing Schmidt for less games than the
 Habs will be without Weber will seriously put the Knights' season at risk.Shea
 Weber - (Eric Bolte-USA TODAY Sports)

That's the perceived value of a top defenseman in this league. Losing one for a
 quarter of the season, especially the first quarter, during which you won't
have a chance to build up a points cushion in the standings, can make or break
a campaign. So, if the Knights are theoretically panicking right now, shouldn't
 the Habs' brain trust be looking for a new collective pair of pants? Why
aren't Habs fans hearing similar trade rumors? After all, according to
Bergevin, the goal is still to make the playoffs.

Just as a reminder, knowing fully at the time Shea Weber would be out until
mid-December, Marc Bergevin still insisted that the goal next season is for the
 Canadiens to make the playoffs.

- Аrpon Basu (@ArponBasu) July 5, 2018

The Habs - A Playoff Team?

The only logical conclusion is the Habs aren't looking to make the playoffs at
all. And no one would be able to blame them if that were the case. Successful
rebuilds typically start with a few years of high draft picks. The Habs
throwing in the towel, or, if you prefer, playing the hand they were dealt once
 the Weber prognosis was in and then John Tavares rejected them, makes cold,
hard sense.

So, what's really the point of insulting fans' intelligence? To keep ticket
sales up? When you risk alienating them following another losing season, one
which officially has heightened expectations for a playoff finish?

Remember, back in April, after the failure of the 2017-18 season, Molson said,
presumably with a straight face: "The more we give and the more transparent we
can be, the better off, the happier our fans will be." In Molson's defense,
that was before the Weber surgery news came out and there was still some sense
of hope that Tavares would sign with the Habs, however delusional it was in
retrospect.Toronto Maple Leafs center John Tavares - (Charles LeClaire-USA
TODAY Sports)

That really doesn't absolve the Habs here. In fact, it makes it worse, because
all a non-playoff season in 2018-19 will amount to is a failure after the team
has gone on record as saying they will be looking to make the postseason.
Someone will be have to be held responsible. With Alex Galchenyuk having
already been traded and Max Pacioretty likely on his way out eventually,
Bergevin is running out of scapegoats.

Seriously, did no one in upper Habs management think this through, Bergevin
especially?To Tank or Not to Tank

Sure, there's this "theory" that proclaiming a season to be lost before it even
 begins only serves to sow seeds of discontent and can spread a losing
"attitude" in the locker room. Based on Bergevin's well-documented affinity for
 all synonyms of the word, that may be exactly what the team is trying to
avoid.

Two things, though:

By all rational accounts, the Habs are trying to lose anyway. Just look to
their lack of moves to improve the team this summer as proof.Professional
hockey players, regardless of their supposed attitude problems, can't
realistically be expected to tank. That's management's responsibility, to ice a
 sub-par team, so the chances of winning consistently are low.

With regard to Point No. 2: Ironically, with exception to the Weber injury that
 was out of his control, Bergevin didn't have to do much to deconstruct his
roster. Most of the damage had already been done over the last few summers.
Take from that assessment what you will.Marc Bergevin (Eric Bolte-USA TODAY
Sports)

If this is all some kind of sick game the Habs are playing, where they're
assuming the fans are in on it, but just don't want to admit the obvious for
fear of being "that" team, news flash: The New York Rangers, who also boast a
hockey-mad fanbase, are worth more financially than the Habs and have had more
 postseason success than the Habs during the Bergevin era, already were that
team. The reaction to the Rangers' open letter to fans, admitting they were no
longer looking to contend, was generally positive.

There's only one way to kind of justify how the Habs have treated their fans
this offseason: They didn't think highly enough of them to tell them the truth.
 The Habs seem to have chosen Door No. 2, to try and pull one over on them and
hope no one notices.

Instead of promoting a rebuilding effort and the young stars in the making
who'll likely be making appearances this season (besides their latest
first-round pick, Jesperi Kotkaniemi, who probably isn't ready to make the
team), the Habs have squandered an opportunity to build more of a bridge to
their fans. If this season plays out the way most are expecting it to, they
could just be burning it down.

The post An Unofficial Canadiens Rebuild Spells Disaster appeared first on The
Hockey Writers.

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