In the NHL, shot volume and Corsi get a lot of attention, but what about
scoring chances?

I';ve been curious about the relationship between all three statistics and how
it affects goal scoring. In my last article, I looked at the differences
between teams who got a lot of shots, but not necessarily good scoring chances.
 Now, I want to flip it around and see the differences between teams by looking
 at scoring chances against.Ryan Suter (left) and the Minnesota Wild weren';t
great at creating chances, but they excelled at the other end of the rink. (Amy
 Irvin / The Hockey Writers)

How many teams in the NHL gave up the volume, but actually limited scoring
chances? Did that translate into fewer goals against for most teams?

One of the biggest variations when looking at scoring chances against is the
goaltender. Before digging in, you already know that teams with bad goaltending
 are going to hurt this statistic. It';s a little more black and white than
looking at scoring chances for.Scoring Chances Versus Shots

Below is a visualization plotting scoring chances compared to shots at even
strength. Follow this link if you want to check out the comparison between
scoring chances and shot attempts as well.

There';s some variation between the graphs, but here I';ll look at teams that
are intriguing on this chart. The data is all from even-strength play, and
it';s also score adjusted.

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Note that the graph is reversed, so that the best teams at preventing shots and
 scoring chances end up near the top of the chart.

One team that I found intriguing was the Buffalo Sabres. The league';s
last-place team was by far the worst at producing scoring chances, but they
actually fare well in terms of scoring chances against. Only four teams gave up
 fewer scoring chances than the Sabres. On the flip side, only four teams
allowed more shots than Buffalo. It makes them one of the more interesting
teams on this list, but their ability to limit scoring chances is
interesting.What';s weird about the Washington Capitals is that they weren';t
a superb team at even-strength during the regular season. They shot the puck
less than any other team, even though they were better at getting scoring
chances. On this graph, only six teams gave up more scoring chances than the
Capitals at even-strength. This team changed their fortunes in the playoffs,
but they weren';t outstanding in the 82 games prior.

The Washington Capitals weren';t a great even-strength team during the regular
season, but they turned things around in the playoffs. (Gary A. Vasquez-USA
TODAY Sports)

Man, the Minnesota Wild were a boring team statistically at even-strength. They
 ranked near the bottom in terms of scoring chances for, but end up first
overall in scoring chances against. It got them into the playoffs, but it sure
wasn';t pretty.Based on their productivity at even-strength, the Calgary Flames
 certainly deserved better last season. They registered more shots than any
other team, and rank sixth overall for scoring chances against. While
defenceman like T.J. Brodie and Travis Hamonic took some blame for what went
on, it';s clear that the defence did an all-around good job at
even-strength.Both the New York Rangers and New York Islanders absolutely bled
scoring chances last season. That should make for some entertaining hockey
between the two teams if that keeps up next season.

Scoring Chances Versus Goals

Let';s get down to what really matters, goals.

On the scoring chances for chart, there';s more intrigue about why teams with
high scoring chances weren';t as successful last season. Some of that was
attributed to luck, or to the fact that they had terrible goaltending and
defence. Teams like the Islanders and the Chicago Blackhawks come to mind
there.

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Two other teams that got screwed by goaltending last year: the Carolina
Hurricanes and the Sabres. The first one is no surprise. The tandem of Scott
Darling and Cam Ward was garbage for Carolina. However, the Sabres';
surprisingly good defence was overshadowed by bad goaltending and a
non-existent offence. If they get some goaltending from Carter Hutton or Linus
Ullmark, I like them as a darkhorse playoff team.On the other hand, one team
that got lucky was the Anaheim Ducks. Considering that they have one of the
best defences in the league, I was surprised to see them so high on this list.
John Gibson was a godsend in net, and Ryan Miller was no slouch either.

John Gibson was one of the league';s best goalie';s for bailing his team out of
 trouble. (Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports)

Really curious how the Minnesota Wild might have done with a healthy Ryan Suter
 in the playoffs. They were overwhelmed against the Jets with Matt Dumba as
their number one guy. Perhaps things would have been different with their true
number one.2017-18 will not go down as one of Matt Murray';s best performances.
 While his mentor turned in an incredible performance in Vegas, Murray was the
main reason why the Pens allowed the fifth-most goals at even-strength.On the
flipside, Jacob Markstrom of the Vancouver Canucks deserves a bit of love for
his underrated season. Even though the Canucks gave up the third-most scoring
chances, they rank outside of the bottom ten in terms of even-strength goals
allowed.

Which teams stood out to you? Let us know in the comments below.

The post Best Teams at Preventing Scoring Chances appeared first on The Hockey
Writers.

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