Message Area
Casually read the BBS message area using an easy to use interface. Messages are categorized exactly like they are on the BBS. You may post new messages or reply to existing messages!

You are not logged in. Login here for full access privileges.

Previous Message | Next Message | Back to The National Hockey League Discu...  <--  <--- Return to Home Page
   Networked Database  The National Hockey League Discu...   [392 / 900] RSS
 From   To   Subject   Date/Time 
Message   The Hockey Writers    All   Which Teams Excel at Creating Scoring Chances?   August 8, 2018
 10:19 AM *  

If you ask any coach, he';ll likely tell you that it';s never a bad strategy to
 get pucks on net. However, some teams refine that strategy better than others.

The curious case of getting pucks on net has only become exacerbated since
Corsi reared its head in the last decade. Teams like the Los Angeles Kings and
Boston Bruins were routinely crowned "Corsi champions," which further
reaffirmed that throwing pucks on net is a solid strategy.Tyler Toffoli and the
 Los Angeles Kings were long considered the "Corsi Kings," but is it scoring
chances that deserve for consideration? (Dom Gagne-USA TODAY Sports)

However, with all kinds of data at our fingertips now, I';ve been curious about
 which teams excel best at getting scoring chances. Who just dumps pucks
towards the net, rather than looking for an opportunity to score?

Everyone can agree that getting more scoring chances leads to more goals. If
anything, the graphs below should give you a better idea of which teams are
best at getting scoring chances on net, and if it actually led to more goals or
 not last season.Scoring Chances Versus Shots and Shot Attempts

Let';s start by looking at team Corsi versus team scoring chances last season.
All of the stats below are score-adjusted at even strength.

var divElement = document.getElementById('viz1533330707439');                  
  var vizElement = divElement.getElementsByTagName('object')[0];               
    
vizElement.style.width='100%';vizElement.style.height=(divElement.offsetWidth*0
.75)+'px';                    var scriptElement =
document.createElement('script');                    scriptElement.src =
'https://public.tableau.com/javascripts/api/vi...';                   
vizElement.parentNode.insertBefore(scriptElement, vizElement);                

At first glance, there';s not much variation here. Generally, teams that have a
 higher Corsi have more shot attempts. There were a couple of interesting teams
 here, including the New York Rangers. The Blueshirts weren';t a high-scoring
team last season, and part of that is evident since they have the second lowest
 Corsi-for total behind the Buffalo Sabres. However, they were adequate at
turning a lot of those shot attempts into scoring opportunities, ranking No. 20
 as opposed to No. 30 in scoring chances for.

The Calgary Flames were the 2017-18 Corsi-for champions, even with the score
adjusted statistics. That';s key because they played a lot of catch-up hockey
last season. For the record, they were tops in the league by a wider margin
without the score adjusted stats.

To make things more interesting, here';s how teams fared with scoring chances
as opposed to shots.

var divElement = document.getElementById('viz1533331656461');                  
  var vizElement = divElement.getElementsByTagName('object')[0];               
    
vizElement.style.width='100%';vizElement.style.height=(divElement.offsetWidth*0
.75)+'px';                    var scriptElement =
document.createElement('script');                    scriptElement.src =
'https://public.tableau.com/javascripts/api/vi...';                   
vizElement.parentNode.insertBefore(scriptElement, vizElement);                

The chart starts to get a little wilder here. Here are some of the components I
 thought were interesting:

The Toronto Maple Leafs were the best team in the league at creating scoring
chances, even though they were average at getting shots on goal. The scary
thing is, they accomplished this without John Tavares. Their offence projects
as the league';s best going into next season.Isn';t it odd that the Stanley
Cup-winning Washington Capitals were the lowest shooting team at even-strength
last season? That';s part of the reason why no one was talking about them
heading into the playoffs. They played low-event hockey. However, they were a
middle of the road team in terms of scoring chances, and stand out as another
organization that emphasizes shot quality over quantity.There';s always more to
 the picture, but it';s interesting to see how similar the Winnipeg Jets and
Nashville Predators are. Neither team stood out with their scoring chance
total, and both focused more on getting pucks towards the net.There is a big
discrepancy in the Pacific Division. The Flames, Edmonton Oilers, Vegas Golden
Knights and San Jose Sharks are all upper echelon in shots and scoring chances.
 The Vancouver Canucks, Arizona Coyotes, and Los Angeles Kings, meanwhile,
aren';t creating much offensively. If you';re looking for entertaining hockey
next season, you know where to look.The Buffalo Sabres....wow.

Scoring Chances Versus Goals

So now that we';ve taken a look at how teams fare with scoring chances and shot
 quality, it';s time to look at what really matters, scoring goals.

var divElement = document.getElementById('viz1533332363195');                  
  var vizElement = divElement.getElementsByTagName('object')[0];               
    
vizElement.style.width='100%';vizElement.style.height=(divElement.offsetWidth*0
.75)+'px';                    var scriptElement =
document.createElement('script');                    scriptElement.src =
'https://public.tableau.com/javascripts/api/vi...';                   
vizElement.parentNode.insertBefore(scriptElement, vizElement);                

Here';s what stood out to me:

Two teams suffered through some rotten luck last season: The Montreal Canadiens
 and the Chicago Blackhawks.Sure, the Canadiens aren';t in great shape, but
they deserve better than what happened last season. Max Pacioretty was better
than the 17 goals he scored last season, and overall the team created enough
offence that they shouldn';t have been second-to-last in even-strength
scoring.The Blackhawks were largely out of the playoffs because no one could
play goaltender after Corey Crawford was injured. What got lost in their
inability to stop pucks was that the Blackhawks out-chanced everyone but the
Maple Leafs last season. Jonathan Toews and Brandon Saad are prime players to
rebound after disappointing seasons.Speaking of subpar goaltending, the
Carolina Hurricanes are another team who should have made the playoffs based on
 offensive production. There';s not much reason to have faith in their current
tandem, but that defence is primed to eliminate some scoring chances.On the
flip side, one of the luckiest teams last season was Minnesota. They were
out-chanced at even-strength and played low-event hockey, yet they made the
playoffs and finished middle-of-the-pack in even strength scoring. They stand
out as a prime team to miss the postseason in 2018-19.

If these tables showed us anything, it';s probably that focusing on scoring
chances is a better recipe for success rather than just throwing pucks on net.
The Maple Leafs and Capitals are both good examples of that. On the other hand,
 shot-heavy teams like the Jets and Predators still managed to score a lot of
goals, despite finishing mid-range in scoring chances. Both of those teams do
like to throw bodies on net, which is imperative if shooting first is your
mentality. That';s part of the reason why big-bodied teams like the Kings and
Bruins were so effective at winning the Corsi battle.

It does depend on how you want to coach your team. From the eye-test point of
view, watching a team like the Maple Leafs dance around teams sure is fun to
watch. That';s only going to get better next season with the addition of
Tavares.

The last lesson? You need to get more scoring chances than the 2017-18 Buffalo
Sabres. That is, unless your goal is to best position yourself in the Jack
Hughes sweepstakes.

The post Which Teams Excel at Creating Scoring Chances? appeared first on The
Hockey Writers.

http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheHockeyWrite...
--- SBBSecho 3.05-Win32
 * Origin: TequilaMockingbird Online - Toms River, NJ (1:266/404)
  Show ANSI Codes | Hide BBCodes | Show Color Codes | Hide Encoding | Hide HTML Tags | Show Routing
Previous Message | Next Message | Back to The National Hockey League Discu...  <--  <--- Return to Home Page

VADV-PHP
Execution Time: 0.0972 seconds

If you experience any problems with this website or need help, contact the webmaster.
VADV-PHP Copyright © 2002-2024 Steve Winn, Aspect Technologies. All Rights Reserved.
Virtual Advanced Copyright © 1995-1997 Roland De Graaf.
v2.0.140505

Warning: Unknown: open(c:\Sessions\sess_pao13kohgitlu7ienps09csl10, O_RDWR) failed: No such file or directory (2) in Unknown on line 0 Warning: Unknown: Failed to write session data (files). Please verify that the current setting of session.save_path is correct (c:\Sessions) in Unknown on line 0 PHP Warning: session_start(): open(c:\Sessions\sess_pao13kohgitlu7ienps09csl10, O_RDWR) failed: No such file or directory (2) in D:\wc5\http\public\VADV\include\common.inc.php on line 45 PHP Warning: Unknown: open(c:\Sessions\sess_pao13kohgitlu7ienps09csl10, O_RDWR) failed: No such file or directory (2) in Unknown on line 0 PHP Warning: Unknown: Failed to write session data (files). Please verify that the current setting of session.save_path is correct (c:\Sessions) in Unknown on line 0