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Message   The Hockey Writers    All   Carlo & Grzelcyk: Odd ;en Out on Bruins' Blue Line?   July 30, 2018
 10:13 AM *  

With free agency over and training camp about a month and a half out, the
Boston Bruins enter the 2018-2019 season with some question marks on defense
after a busy offseason. However, these questions are not the type that GM Don
Sweeney and company are used to.

In past seasons as recent as 2017-18, the main storyline with Boston';s
defensive corps was who would step up and fill in a major role on a defensive
unit pressed for bodies, a la Matt Grzelcyk, Charlie McAvoy, etc. This year,
the Bruins appear to have eight NHL-ready defensemen battling for six starting
spots: McAvoy, Zdeno Chara, the recently re-signed Grzelcyk, Adam McQuaid, free
 agent pick-up John Moore, Brandon Carlo (assuming his return from ankle
surgery), Torey Krug, and Kevan Miller.

Let us also not forget about 2015 first-round draft pick Jakub Zboril, who
after a pretty long development process in the QMJHL and with the B';s AHL
affiliate in Providence the last three years, could finally be ready to make
his debut for the big club in 2018-2019.Lehigh Valley Phantoms Phil Varone
battles Providence Bruins Jakub Zboril.(JustSports Photography)

So, while there is definitely some work to be done and some battles to be won
during training camp for the six starting spots on the point, rostering a large
 number of NHL-ready defensemen along with a top-level prospect in Zboril is a
pretty good problem for Boston to have.Piecing Together the Bruins'; Puzzle

In terms of who plays where and who watches from the seventh floor come Oct. 3,
 there are several factors one must consider:

We do not know when Brandon Carlo will be ready to return. Reports are that
Carlo could be ready in time for training camp, but nothing is 100-percent
certain.Zdeno Chara is 41 years old and could see a lesser role in terms of
average minutes than what we are used to, but given the $5-million extension
the Bruins signed him to as well as him being the team';s captain, he';ll
remain in the top-four until proven otherwise.The Bruins have four right-shot
defensemen and five left-shot defensemen including Zboril, so they have the
ability to put every guy on his strong side.

With these factors considered, let';s do our best depth chart predictions for
what Boston';s 2018-2019 defensive core could look like to start the season.

First Pairing: Zdeno Chara, Charlie McAvoySecond Pairing: Torey Krug, Adam
McQuaidThird Pairing: John Moore, Kevan MillerOut: Matt Grzelcyk, Brandon
Carlo, Jakub ZborilPenalty Kill No. 1: Zdeno Chara, Adam McQuaidPenalty Kill
No. 2: John Moore, Kevan MillerPower-Play Defensemen: Charlie McAvoy (first
unit), Torey Krug (second unit)

Why Leave Out Grzelcyk or Carlo?

"Getting younger" is an ideology that allows many on the Bruins beat and the
talking heads in Boston to keep the narrative going that the team is not
building its roster the correct way, primarily on the back end. Is the goal to
eventually have Carlo, Zboril, and Grzelcyk succeed guys like Chara and
McQuaid? Of course. But, no matter your agenda when it comes to the Bruins, it
is impossible to say that Grzelcyk is more deserving of a spot on Boston';s
defensive set right now than Chara, Moore, or Krug, especially when you
consider salary.Brandon Carlo, Boston Bruins, Dec. 2, 2017 (Amy Irvin / The
Hockey Writers)

Based on what they are paying Chara, the Bruins clearly feel that he is still a
 top-four defenseman in this league despite his age. Based on what Boston is
paying Grzelcyk (two years, $2.8 million), they see him as a fifth or sixth
defenseman at best with room to grow. Torey Krug is locked under contract at
$5.5 million per for this season and next season. You want to get the most out
of a guy making that type of money so, like Chara, Krug gets a spot on the
top-four until he proves to be incapable.

As for the third left-shot defense, John Moore was given a five-year deal with
an annual cap hit of $2.75 million to come in and be a mainstay on defense.
Coming off a career-high 81 games played last season with the New Jersey Devils
 (the previous career-high for Moore was 63 games in 2016-2017), the
expectation is that Moore can do it again barring injury. Given the contract,
the Bruins clearly have faith that Moore can be that third left-shot defenseman
 who can eat minutes on the penalty kill, block shots, and do all of the other
little dirty things correct. For those reasons alone he should begin the season
 with a starting spot.

If Moore is unable to play up to his pay grade, the Bruins should have no
problem giving Grzelcyk a chance to crack the lineup and log minutes on the
third pairing, though the skillset of Grzelcyk, a puck-moving defenseman with
offensive upside is far different than that of Moore, who';s logged just 99
career points in 10 years in the league.Matt Grzelcyk (Charles LeClaire-USA
TODAY Sports)

Zboril';s road to cracking the lineup seems a bit more problematic considering
there are four NHL-ready defensemen in front of him in the pecking order, but
injuries will happen and there should come a point this season where the Bruins
 need him to fill in.

In terms of the right-shots, it is a bit easier to predict given that Boston is
 less deep on the right side and currently dealing with uncertainty in regards
to Carlo';s surgically repaired ankle. Even at full health, it is doubtful that
 Carlo would have a solidified starting position in Boston';s defensive core
given the balance that McQuaid and Miller both provide with their
defensive-minded and physical skill sets.

Charlie McAvoy looked decent on this Sean Kuraly goal. #NHLBruins
pic.twitter.com/3jtjp1O7W6

- Boston Bruins (@NHLBruins) November 24, 2017

Charlie McAvoy is obviously Boston';s No. 1 right-shot defenseman thanks to his
 versatility along with him being an offensive threat and holding pristine
ability to move the puck up the ice. Miller and McQuaid do not supply Boston
with that type of offense or precision puck-moving but make up for it with grit
 and defensive attributes that McAvoy lacks at this early stage in his career.
Yes, the NHL is evolving into a league that is now based more primarily on
speed and skill, but guys like McQuaid and Miller are still necessary
components for a team to have on its back end with the way they throw their
bodies around and do all the little things well.Comparing the Defense to the
Competition

Obviously, Boston';s defensive lineup is not even close to being the most
talented in the Eastern Conference, with the defending champion
Washington Capitals re-signing John Carlson and Brooks Orpik; the Tampa Bay
Lightning re-signing Ryan McDonagh to go along with Victor Hedman, Mikhail
Sergachez, and Anton Stralman; and the Pittsburgh Penguins adding to their
group of Kris Letang, Justin Schultz, and Brian Dumoulin with UFA Jack
Johnson.TAMPA, FL - MARCH 10: Tampa Bay Lightning defender Ryan McDonagh (27)
during the third or overtime period of an NHL game between the Montreal
Canadiens and the Tampa Bay Lightning on March 10, 2018, at Amalie Arena in
Tampa, FL. (Photo by Roy K. Miller/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Despite there being three teams in the East with defensive units that are
clearly better than what Boston has, Bruins fans should be excited for what
they roster on their blue line when looking around the rest of the Atlantic
Division. The Ottawa Senators are an absolute dumpster fire and it appears as
if it is only a matter of time until Erik Karlsson gets dealt or leaves in free
 agency after this season.

The Buffalo Sabres are still rebuilding their defense around Rasmus
Ristolainen, and the Montreal Canadiens are starting to see the devastating
negative effects of the P.K. Subban trade with Shea Weber (knee) being out
until at least December. The Florida Panthers have two solid No. 1 defenders in
 Aaron Ekblad and Keith Yandle but are still young like the Bruins are, and
despite the addition of John Tavares at up front, Toronto';s weakness is still
its defense, with only five NHL-ready defensemen currently rostered (Connor
Carrick, Nikita Zaitsev, Morgan Reilly, Jake Gardiner, Ron Hainsey).

Putting a ranking next to each team';s defensive set in the Atlantic Division,
it would probably look something like this:

TampaFlorida or BostonFlorida or BostonTorontoBuffaloOttawaMontreal

More Options Than Any in the Atlantic

No matter who the Bruins opt to send out as their starting-six defense against
the Washington Caps on Oct. 3, they have more options than every team in their
division outside of Tampa Bay and maybe Florida. It';ll be interesting to see
how this all plays out, but Bruins fans should feel more confident in their
defensive set heading into this season than they have ahead of any of the last
several.

The post Carlo & Grzelcyk: Odd Men Out on Bruins'; Blue Line? appeared first on
 The Hockey Writers.

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