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Message   The Hockey Writers    All   10 NHL Teams Trending Down for 2018-19   July 23, 2018
 10:46 AM *  

NHL Standings Predictions: Offseason Edition10 NHL Teams Trending Up for
2018-19

A lot can happen between today and training camp or opening night, but now that
 my offseason standings predictions are out there, it's time to take a look at
10 NHL teams that are trending down for 2018-19.

Some of these teams lost key players or made blatantly bad moves this summer,
while others overachieved to varying degrees last season or appear bound to
take a step back for a variety of reasons.

Not all these teams will miss the playoffs this season, but all of them are
candidates to regress and to struggle in finishing as high or going as far as
last season.

Feel free to agree or disagree in the comments below.RELATED: 10 NHL Teams
Trending Up for 2018-191) Ottawa Senators

Erik Karlsson is still on Ottawa's roster for the time being, but it's a
foregone conclusion that he's getting traded and it's hard to fathom just how
far the Senators have fallen since coming within an overtime goal of reaching
the Stanley Cup Final two seasons ago.(Amy Irvin / The Hockey Writers)
Erik Karlsson is as good as gone from Ottawa after turning down the Senators';
offer to stick around long term. Karlsson wants to win and there';s no chance
of that happening in Ottawa anytime soon.

Now Ottawa is on the verge of losing its franchise player, which could prompt a
 mass exodus and should trigger a full rebuild. Problem is, the Senators
already traded their 2019 first-round pick to Colorado - as part of the package
 for Matt Duchene - and it's looking more and more like that pick could turn
into Jack Hughes, the projected first overall pick and a potential superstar.

Making matters worse, Duchene is entering the final year of his contract and
could walk away as a free agent next summer if he's not traded (or extended) in
 the meantime. Duchene infamously stated he was happy to leave Colorado for
Ottawa because he wanted to play in the playoffs, but if that's still his goal,
 it'll have to happen somewhere else again.

Mark Stone is slated for arbitration and could also be gone within a year or
two, if not a matter of months. Craig Anderson has two seasons left on his
contract, but his name has also surfaced in the rumour mill as somebody looking
 to get out of Ottawa sooner than later. Guy Boucher is going to be a lame-duck
 coach this season as well, with this the final year of his current contract,
so expect wholesale changes in the Canadian capital.

Poor Pierre Dorion, he might be the only person left from the current regime
and from that improbable 2017 playoff run. That is, as long as he keeps doing
as Eugene Melnyk demands. It's a disaster in Ottawa right now and it's bound to
 get worse before it gets better again.2) New York Islanders

The outlook isn't looking much better for the Islanders, who already lost the
face of their franchise when John Tavares headed home to Toronto. Anders Lee
and Jordan Eberle are entering the final season of their contracts before free
agency and could become trade bait if not extended soon.

Lou Lamoriello was successful in recruiting Stanley Cup-winning coach Barry
Trotz to Brooklyn but failed in retaining Tavares and in replacing his presence
 in the aftermath. Aside from last month's draft, which was an overwhelming
success for the scouting staff, the Islanders have had a miserable offseason.
Lamoriello has been retooling with toughness, but he's been unable to fill the
scoring void left by Tavares.(Dave Sandford/NHLI via Getty Images)
Lou Lamoriello, middle, has had a rough offseason since joining the Islanders,
from losing John Tavares to his former team in Toronto to missing out on trade
targets to settling for mediocre free agents. And he has yet to lure Mark
Hunter, left, into joining his new staff.

That means putting more pressure on Mathew Barzal to light it up as a sophomore
 - while getting much more attention from the opposition as the Islanders'
go-to guy now - and relying on Robin Lehner to keep the goals-against down at
the other end.

It's not a recipe for success and Trotz won't be able to work wonders with
what's left of the Islanders' roster. This is a lottery team, as of today.3)
Vancouver Canucks

The Sedin twins, Henrik and Daniel, will be missed. They were still very
capable and contributing top-six forwards in their final season before
retirement, and the Canucks haven't signed, nor acquired any top-six talents in
 the offseason.(Amy Irvin / The Hockey Writers)
It';s the end of an era in Vancouver, with the Sedin twins retiring and passing
 the torch to a younger generation of talent that won';t be able to turn the
Canucks into a contender overnight.

Instead, Vancouver is turning the team over to its youth movement - led by
likely new captain Bo Horvat, sophomore sniper Brock Boeser and uber-talented
Swedish rookie Elias Pettersson. Quinn Hughes, this year's seventh overall
pick, is still deciding whether to turn pro or return to college, but he could
also be a big part of the Canucks' attack from the blue line as a rookie.

That group will grow together under Travis Green, but there will almost
certainly be growing pains. Expectations will be low and a high draft pick will
 be welcomed with Vancouver hosting the 2019 draft next June. The future could
be bright for the Canucks, but Jim Benning, Trevor Linden and specifically
Francesco Aquilini will need to take a patient approach to the next couple
seasons. So far, so good on that front.4) New Jersey Devils

Taylor Hall is the reigning league MVP, taking the Devils on his back in the
second half en route to winning the Hart Trophy and, more importantly, earning
a playoff berth. Normally, Cory Schneider has the Devils on his back and that
will likely need to be the case for a repeat performance since Ray Shero hasn't
 been active in improving New Jersey this offseason.(Marc DesRosiers/USA TODAY
Sports)
Cory Schneider will need to be at his best - along with Taylor Hall - for New
Jersey to make the playoffs again. The Devils might be the league';s most
likely team to regress.

The Devils are worse on paper than where they left off and most would agree
that they were overachievers last season. New Jersey might not be a one-year
wonder, but this is a team that may go backwards before it can go forward
again. Nobody should be surprised if the Devils miss the playoffs in 2019. That
 is, unless Shero gets back to work before the puck drops in October.5)
Minnesota Wild

Ryan Suter's recovery from a badly broken ankle is the main factor for
Minnesota's anticipated decline or demise, and Paul Fenton - knowing Suter's
importance from their time together in Nashville - should have been more
proactive in plugging that hole. Sure, Suter might be back for the season
opener and shouldn't be sidelined as long as his former Predators partner Shea
Weber in Montreal, but Suter will likely be a shell of his former self for some
 time upon returning. See Andrej Sekera in Edmonton, who never fully got up to
speed last season following a serious knee surgery.(Brace Hemmelgarn/USA TODAY
Sports)
Ryan Suter has been a workmanlike warrior for the Wild and the face of
Minnesota';s franchise in recent seasons - with Zach Parise battling injuries -
 but now Suter is hurting. His return to form could make or break this season
for a bubble team in the Central.

Greg Pateryn, a journeyman now on a three-year contract, isn't going to pick up
 that slack and the Wild will surely fall back to the pack if their
minute-munching, all-situation blueliner is missing for any length of time.
Devan Dubnyk's stats would also take a hit without Suter, and Minnesota has
never been a team known for outscoring the opposition.

Bruce Boudreau deserves a ton of credit for already getting the most out of
Minnesota's offence - especially from Eric Staal and Mikko Koivu, who should be
 past their prime and tailing off in terms of production - but the Wild's
forward group isn't going to be any better with the fourth-line additions of
Eric Fehr, Matt Hendricks and J.T. Brown. Fenton missed the mark with those
signings too, perhaps losing more by buying out Tyler Ennis than he gained in
those three combined. We shall see based on this season's results.

However, losing Suter - or the Suter of old, assuming he's hobbled or slowed to
 some degree - is the real issue for Minnesota and the reason the Wild wound
up on this list. It's also why the Wild won't likely make the playoffs in
2019.6) Colorado Avalanche

The Avs are somewhat similar to the Devils, with Nathan MacKinnon doing much of
 the heavy lifting for Colorado in finishing as a Hart runner-up to Hall. Joe
Sakic dipped into free agency for depth players like Ian Cole and Matt Calvert,
 but Colorado's core hasn't changed.

The Avs are staying the course with their young roster, hoping continued
development from the likes of Mikko Rantanen, Tyson Jost, Alex Kerfoot and J.T.
 Compher up front, plus Samuel Girard and Nikita Zadorov on the back end, will
be enough to stay in the playoff picture.

That's asking a lot in a much-improved division where St. Louis and Dallas are
clearly trending up, even if Minnesota is trending down. Colorado will need
more heroics from MacKinnon and consistently stellar goaltending from the
tandem of Semyon Varlamov and Philipp Grubauer to grab a wild-card berth
again.(Brad Penner/USA TODAY Sports)
Philipp Grubauer blossomed into one of the league';s better backups, playing
behind Braden Holtby in Washington, and Colorado will be counting on Grubauer
to take the next step in his development while sharing the Avalanche crease
with Semyon Valarmov this season.

Consider the Avalanche a bubble team, a definite maybe - dependent on the
maturation of those youngsters and Jared Bednar's ability to bottle up last
season's magic.7) Vegas Golden Knights

Ditto for Vegas, in terms of bottling up that magic from its miraculous
expansion season, but the Golden Knights should have some staying power based
on their playoff performance. It would be foolish to bet against them again,
even if some of the underlying numbers suggest a regression is inevitable.

That inaugural success may not be sustainable, having rode a non-stop wave of
momentum all the way to the Stanley Cup Final, but Vegas was no fluke and the
Golden Knights weren't just lucky. From William Karlsson to Alex Tuch and Colin
 Miller to Shea Theodore, this team landed a lot of legit talent and Marc-Andre
 Fleury is still a top-10 starting goaltender, so any drop off will likely be
modest. Don't expect Karlsson to score 40-plus goals again, but don't expect a
freefall in the standings either.(Jeff Bottari/NHLI via Getty Images)
William Karlsson - also known as Wild Bill - broke out in a big way when thrust
 into a first-line centre role with Vegas, but the other 30 teams will be
better prepared to shut down Karlsson and the rest of the Golden Knights in
their sophomore season.

Vegas lost James Neal and David Perron to free agency but signed Paul Stastny
and will be getting a full season of trade-deadline acquisition Tomas Tatar.
That should be a wash and thus the Golden Knights have to be considered the
favourites to top the Pacific Division again, even if it's by a much slimmer
margin. Vegas probably won't be in the mix for the Presidents' Trophy this time
 around but still seems like a lock for a playoff spot.8) Los Angeles Kings

These last three teams are debatable for belonging on this list, with the Kings
 being a club that could go either way. On one hand, they added Ilya Kovalchuk
from the KHL and will be getting a full season of Dion Phaneuf and hopefully a
healthy campaign from Jeff Carter. On the other hand, Los Angeles has several
players coming off a high with captain Anze Kopitar emerging as a Hart finalist
 and Dustin Brown enjoying a shocking resurgence. Jonathan Quick has become
injury-prone in recent years and he's another integral part of the Kings'
success.( Александр Головко via Wikimedia Commons)
Ilya Kovalchuk hasn';t played in the NHL since 2013 - returning to Russia and
ripping up the KHL for the past five seasons - but now he';s back at 35 years
old and looking to light it up as a member of the Los Angeles Kings.

L.A. also suffered an under-the-radar loss when Pierre Turgeon stepped down as
the team's offensive coordinator after helping produce some impressive results
that could now regress without his tactical insight - both at even strength and
 on the power play.

Yet, the Kings could also go up instead of down if That 70s Line can rekindle
its chemistry - with Carter between Tyler Toffoli and Tanner Pearson - and if
Kovalchuk can turn back time or make up for lost time in flanking Kopitar and
Brown. Gabe Vilardi could be an X-factor as a rookie, but the Kings don't have
as much forward depth outside of their top six as some of their division rivals
 and that could be the difference in determining which teams are playoff
bound.9) Anaheim Ducks

The Ducks finished second in their division despite a down year from Corey
Perry and a lengthy stretch without Ryan Kesler. The latter could again be
sidelined for some or all of this season, which is an ongoing concern for
Anaheim, though it managed to get by without him for much of last season. The
Ducks are expecting to have Patrick Eaves back in the fold - returning from a
season-long illness - so that's good news.(Andy Martin Jr./THW file photo)
The Anaheim Ducks were a different beast when Ryan Kesler was at his best, but
those days may be gone for good with the shutdown centre possibly being shut
down again due to lingering injuries.

The bad news is Perry and Ryan Getzlaf aren't getting any younger, and Kesler
could be closer to retiring than contending for another Selke Trophy as one of
the league's top two-way forwards. Kesler would be sorely missed in Anaheim's
depth chart, as a middle-six centre, but the Ducks might be able to overcome
his absence for the second year in a row.

It's tough to say how Anaheim will fare, or whether Randy Carlyle will be able
to push the right buttons at the right times to keep this team in the playoff
picture. One thing is for certain, the Alberta teams - Edmonton and Calgary -
will be pushing up and the California clubs - Anaheim, Los Angeles and even San
 Jose - will have a hard time holding them down. When the dust settles, the
Ducks could end up being grounded and humbled below the cut line. In that case,
 Bob Murray would have to blow it up in Anaheim.10) Boston Bruins

Following the opening day of free agency, on July 2, Boston was boasting the
third-best Stanley Cup odds for 2019 - behind only Atlantic foes Toronto and
Tampa Bay. The Leafs and Lightning are understandably ranked 1-2, but the
Bruins looked a little out of place at No. 3 - ahead of the reigning champion
Washington Capitals and the two-time Cup-winning Pittsburgh Penguins, among
other strong contenders like Winnipeg, Nashville and even Vegas.(Winslow
Townson/USA TODAY Sports)
It';s easy to root against Brad Marchand and the Bruins after his licking
antics in this year';s playoffs, but Boston is still being touted among the
Stanley Cup favourites to the shock and dismay of some.

Expect those odds to get longer for Boston as the season progresses, with
Toronto and Tampa Bay pulling away from the Bruins, and with the Florida
Panthers and potentially the Buffalo Sabres gaining ground in that division.
Third place in the Atlantic is no sure thing for Boston, let alone third place
overall.

The Bruins still have one of the best lines in hockey - comprised of Patrice
Bergeron, Brad Marchand and David Pastrnak - along with a solid defence corps
and good goaltending, but Boston is being overrated by the bookies. Playoff
team? Yes, most likely. Cup contender? Not in this author's eyes, but I've been
 wrong before!

The post 10 NHL Teams Trending Down for 2018-19 appeared first on The Hockey
Writers.

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