Tad Cook, K7RA, Seattle, reports: We should be seeing some enhanced propagation
 due to a current modest rise in solar activity, which may increase further
over the next few days.

Solar activity increased over the February 8-14 reporting week. Average daily
sunspot number rose from 10.3 to 24, while average daily solar flux increased
from 72.5 to 77.4. Geomagnetic indicators were quiet, with average planetary A
index changing from 4.4 to 4.1, and average mid-latitude A index going from 3.6
 to 3.

Predicted solar flux is 75, 74, 73, and 70; on February 15-18; 69 on February
19-28; 72 on March 1; 75 on March 2-3; 78 on March 4-13; 76 on March 14-15; 72
on March 16; 70 on March 17-21; 69 on March 22-27; 72 on March 28; 75 on March
29-30, and 78 on March 31.

Predicted planetary A index is 28, 20, and 15 on February 15-17; 10 on February
 18-19; 8 on February 20-21; 5 on February 22-March 3; 8 on March 4; 5 on March
 5-13; 8, 15, 12, 10, 5, 8, 10, and 8 on March 14-21; 5 on March 22-30, and 8
on March 31.

February 4 was the last day that a new sunspot appeared. Before that, February
2 showed a new spot.

Sunspot numbers for February 8-14 were 22, 23, 35, 24, 26, 20, and 18, with a
mean of 24. The 10.7-centimeter flux was 77.5, 78.1, 78.2, 78.2, 78.6, 75.9,
and 75.3, with a mean of 77.4. Estimated planetary A indices were 4, 5, 7, 3,
4, 3, and 3, with a mean of 4.1. Estimated mid-latitude A indices were 2, 2, 7,
 2, 3, 3, and 2, with a mean of 3.

Send me your reports and observations.

____________________________________________________________________________


Just Ahead in Radiosport

 *  February 17 -- SARL Youth Day Sprint
 *  February 17 -- Feld Hell Sprint
 *  February 17-18 -- ARRL International DX Contest (CW)
 *  February 17-18 -- Russian PSK WW Contest
 *  February 17-18 -- AWA Amplitude Modulation QSO Party
 *  February 18-21 -- Classic Exchange (Phone)
 *  February 19 -- Run for the Bacon QRP Contest (CW)
 *  February 21 -- AGCW Semi-Automatic Key Evening (CW)
 *  February 22 -- RSGB 80-Meter Club Championship (CW)

See the ARRL Contest Calendar for more information. For in-depth reporting on
Amateur Radio contesting, subscribe to The ARRL Contest Update via your ARRL
member profile e-mail preferences.

____________________________________________________________________________


Upcoming ARRL Section, State, and Division Conventions

 *  February 16-17 -- Southwestern Division Convention, Yuma, Arizona
 *  February 24 -- TECHCON Conference, Winter Haven, Florida
 *  February 24 -- New Mexico TechFest, Albuquerque, New Mexico
 *  February 24 -- Vermont State Convention, S. Burlington, Vermont
 *  March 2-3 -- Alabama State Convention, Irondale, Alabama
 *  March 3 -- Arkansas State Convention, Russellville, Arkansas
 *  March 9-10 -- Louisiana State Convention, Rayne, Louisiana
 *  March 9-10 -- North Carolina Section Convention, Concord, North Carolina
 *  March 10 -- Nebraska State Convention, Lincoln, Nebraska
 *  March 16-17 -- South Texas Section Convention, Rosenberg, Texas
 *  March 17 -- Southern Florida Section Convention, Stuart, Florida
 *  March 17 -- West Texas Section Convention, Midland, Texas
 *  March 24 -- Utah Digital Communications Conference, Sandy, Utah
 *  March 24 -- MicroHAMS Digital Conference, Redmond, Washington
 *  March 24 -- West Virginia Section Convention, Charleston, West Virginia
 *  March 30-31 -- Maine State Convention, Lewiston, Maine
 *  March 31 -- North Carolina State Convention, Raleigh, North Carolina

Find conventions and hamfests in your area.

____________________________________________________________________________


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)\/(ark

Always Mount a Scratch Monkey
Do you manage your own servers? If you are not running an IDS/IPS yer doin' it
wrong...
... Extra Credit: Define the universe. Give 3 examples.
---
 * Origin:  (1:3634/12.73)